COVID-19: The science and policy calculous behind SA’s new mask recommendationsPHOTO: TAC

COVID-19: The science and policy calculous behind SA’s new mask recommendations

Comment & Analysis

On Friday Health Minister Dr Zweli Mkhize recommended that members of the public wear cloth face masks of at least three layers. In so doing, Mkhize gave much needed direction on an issue that created much uncertainty.

What is the big deal about masks?

The question as to whether members of the public should be wearing face masks during the global pandemic has been hotly debated globally, with experts expressing divergent views, different countries and authorities giving conflicting advice, ranging from “avoid wearing masks for people who are well”, across the spectrum of “use cautiously”, to advocating widespread face mask use for the general population.

In South Africa to date, the messaging has until now been consistent with the World Health Organisation (WHO) recommendation that the only people who needed to wear face masks, outside the healthcare setting, were people who were ill or those who were treating them. A flurry of confusion arose when transport regulations issued under the Disaster Management Act required passengers using public transport to wear masks. Subsequently a policy guideline was issued on 2 April by Western Cape Department of Health, indicating that as the epidemic unfolds, the wider use of masks is indicated even for people who are not ill, especially if they move around in public. And finally on 10 April the National Department of Health recommended the widespread use of cloth masks.

What are the issues under debate?

Arguments against mass mask use:

• We need to save valuable face masks for health professionals, especially given global shortages of personal protective equipment (PPE).

• People don’t use them properly, either leaving nose uncovered, or touching the mask during use or removal, therefore risking transfer of virus to hands, eyes, nose and surfaces.

• People find them uncomfortable and thus don’t wear them most of the time, defeating the point of mask-wearing.

• Inappropriate disposal may cause harm, as moist and unwashed masks containing Sars-CoV-2 may become a vector for transmission.

• Used too early in the epidemic, mask-wearing may result in compliance fatigue later at high prevalence levels when it may be of greatest benefit.

• Stigma may be associated with face mask use, either because it identifies the wearer as contagious, or as a hoarder.

• Mask-wearing provides incomplete protection for the wearer especially without eye protection.

• Face masks provide a false sense of security, so wearers may reduce the other measures, like hand-washing and social distancing, and end up taking more risks.

Similarly, there are also arguments for universal use of face-masks• Any additional, even partial, reduction of transmission would be advantageous to slowing the epidemic.

• Used in combination with other measures, mask-wearing can assist to “flatten the curve” and reduce the speed at which the virus spreads.

• Face masks may provide protection where physical distancing is not possible due to socio-economic circumstances, such as informal settlements, and where hand-washing is difficult due to inadequate water supply and sanitation.

• Mask-wearing may protect against asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic transmission, a concerning trend noted in recent weeks.

• Mask-wearing may act as a symbol of hope, shared responsibility and collective action to a life altering pandemic.

Understanding the spread of COVID-19 and how masks might stop the spread

COVID-19 is caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus and spreads from person-to-person through respiratory droplets produced when an infected person coughs or sneezes, and from touching contaminated surfaces. Reducing transmission therefore revolves around preventing person-to-person spread, by avoiding close contact (physical distancing), and using infection prevention and control (IPC) measures, including hand-hygiene, respiratory hygiene, and personal protective equipment (PPE) such as face masks.

Droplets sprayed during coughing, sneezing or exhaling can be blocked by a face mask, to a greater and lesser degree dependent on the type of face mask. Face masks are critical in healthcare settings to protect healthcare workers from becoming infected when treating known and unknown cases. Knowing that PPE including face masks help protect health care workers, it appears a logical next step to promote face mask wearing in community settings to prevent transmission in the general population.

But, does it work at a population level?

Extrapolating from health care worker protection, the assumption is that “my mask protects me”, in other words, the wearer is protected from being infected by a positive case. Whereas it is in fact more likely that the greatest benefit as a public health measure is that “my mask protects you, your mask protects me”, in other words, the wearer is taking the precaution that they may be positive and ensuring that they do not spread it to others.

What does the science say?

Limited evidence is available about COVID-19 and public health prevention measures given that the epidemic is only 100 days old globally. We therefore consider scientific evidence of similar viruses and illnesses such as influenza to guide us.

The evidence for “my mask protects me”.

• In the laboratory setting, all types of masks reduced aerosol exposure to a simulated infectious agent, with N95 respirators more efficient than surgical masks, which were more efficient than home-made masks.

• In the community setting, three cluster randomised trials evaluated the effectiveness of medical masks versus no masks for protecting wearers from acquiring influenza-like infection. Together these trials provide evidence of low certainty that medical masks may reduce the chance of infection by 8% compared to no masks.

The evidence for “my mask protects you, your mask protects me”.

• In the laboratory setting, a recent study involving 246 patients demonstrated that face masks significantly reduced the detection of Sars-CoV-2 in the exhaled breath of Covid-19 patients.

• In the household setting, four cluster trials evaluated the effectiveness of medical masks versus no masks for protecting household members from acquiring infection from a household member who was ill with confirmed influenza-like illness. Together these trials provide low certainty evidence that medical masks may reduce the chance of infection by 12% compared to no masks.

In summary, there is low certainty evidence that using face masks may reduce the chance of infection and therefore community transmission.

Translating Science into Policy

When making policy recommendations to use or not use an intervention, decision-makers need to consider the trade-offs between benefits and harms presented by the scientific evidence, the certainty of the evidence, as well as factors such as values and preferences, resource implications, equity, acceptability, and feasibility.

Importantly, policy-makers need to focus on the desired outcome. In the case of COVID-19, if the goal is to “flatten the curve” as opposed to eradicating the virus, then partial protection afforded by face masks may be sufficient, despite low certainty evidence. Applying the precautionary principle (a strategy for approaching issues of potential harm when extensive scientific knowledge on the matter is lacking), may be the route to follow particularly with such a serious illness as COVID-19 with no known treatment or vaccine, spreading in an immune naive population, with deaths rising steeply, and health systems under strain.

So, implementing mask-wearing could assist with “flattening the curve”, when used in combination with other measures known to reduce transmission, of isolation for individuals who are confirmed COVID-19 positive, quarantine for contacts of individuals who are confirmed COVID-19 positive, hand hygiene, respiratory hygiene and physical distancing.

Translating policy into practice

Applying the same precautionary principle relating to potential harms, face mask usage should be accompanied by strictly adhering to safe use guidelines. Such guidelines should encompass obtaining, donning (putting on), doffing (taking off), not touching your face or mask while wearing, cleaning, disinfecting and disposal of face mask.
In other words, “Mask plus Message” must be the essence of any implementation campaign.

It would be imperative to ensure that the “golden rules” of infection prevention and control are emphasised alongside mask-wearing.

• Hand-hygiene (regular hand washing with soap and water for 20 seconds),

• Respiratory hygiene (sneeze and cough into your bent elbow, and away from other people),

• Physical distancing (no physical contact, remain two metres away from other people),

• Reduction in gathering and congregation of people and

• Disinfecting and sanitisation of surfaces.

An important caveat is that face masks are critical in healthcare settings to protect healthcare workers from becoming infected. Given that the pandemic has led to a global shortage of PPE, including face masks and N95 respirators, these must be prioritised for healthcare workers. Homemade or cloth masks have therefore been suggested as a stop-gap in community settings in order to save medical face masks for use by healthcare workers.

Looking ahead
As we look ahead towards the end of lockdown, other measures to reduce transmission will be key. Widespread use of face masks may well be an important component of interventions to continue “flattening the curve” and mitigate the inevitable tsunami of COVID-19 cases. Mask-wearing may also act as a symbol of hope, shared responsibility and collective action to a life altering pandemic.

* Dr Kerrin Begg is a Public Health Medicine Specialist at Stellenbosch University and member of the College of Public Health Medicine guidance task team.